Strategy continues to buy, buy, buy, can the new financing plan bring new impetus to the market?

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链捕手
9 hours ago
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Strategy did not rely on borrowing or selling stocks this time, but on a super credit card with an 8% interest rate and no expiration date.

Original author: Scof, ChainCatcher

Original editor: TB, ChainCatcher

Strategy continues to buy, buy, buy, can the new financing plan bring new impetus to the market?

Recently, Strategy (formerly known as MicroStrategy) officially submitted documents to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, planning to issue up to $21 billion of 8% Series A perpetual preferred shares. This move has attracted market attention because it not only involves large-scale fund raising, but may also have a profound impact on Strategys Bitcoin purchase strategy.

According to official documents, these preferred shares have a par value of $100 per share, an annualized interest rate of 8%, and quarterly dividends, which can be paid in cash, common stock, or a combination of the two. In addition, the preferred shares can be converted into common stock at a ratio of 10:1, that is, every 10 preferred shares can be converted into 1 common share.

The preferred stock issuance will be conducted through a “market offering program”, which means that the company can sell preferred stock directly in the market, similar to an ATM offering of common stock. This means that Strategy now has ATM financing channels for both common and preferred stock.

So what is the difference between this issuance of preferred shares and previous ones? Will this innovative financing method bring new variables to the Bitcoin market? This article will provide an in-depth analysis of this.

Strategy The evolution of financing methods

Before analyzing Strategy’s latest financing method, let’s briefly review its past methods of purchasing Bitcoin.

In the early stages, Strategy, as a software company, used idle cash on its books to purchase Bitcoin. The first three investments in this stage bought 40,700 Bitcoins.

As the company invested more in Bitcoin, they began to use convertible preferred bonds (convertible bonds) for financing. Convertible bonds allow investors to convert bonds into company stocks under certain conditions, providing both downside protection (the principal and interest can be recovered when the bonds mature) and potential gains from stock price increases. 119,481 Bitcoins were purchased in this way.

In addition to convertible bonds, Strategy also issued senior secured bonds, which are secured debt instruments with lower risk than convertible bonds but a more fixed income model. Using this model to finance, the company bought 13,005 bitcoins.

As MSTRs stock price rises, the company has increasingly adopted the At-the-Market (ATM) approach to financing since 2021. ATM is a widely used financing method in the United States, which allows listed companies to issue new shares directly on the open market at current market prices to raise funds.

On February 20 of this year, Strategy issued $2 billion in convertible senior notes. The review process required for this financing method is more complicated and time-consuming than before, so the market speculated at the time that Strategys purchase of BTC would slow down.

However, the $21 billion perpetual preferred shares submitted for review have once again raised the markets expectations that Strategy will return to the buy, buy, buy mode.

Strategy continues to buy, buy, buy, can the new financing plan bring new impetus to the market?

The amount of BTC held by Strategy. Source: bitcointreasuries.net

How are preferred stocks different?

Compared with previous financing methods, the perpetual preferred stock that Strategy applied for this time is significantly different in structure. In the past, the company mainly relied on debt financing and stock issuance to obtain funds, while this issuance of preferred stocks has found a new balance between traditional equity financing and debt financing.

The biggest difference between preferred stock and common stock is that it is neither completely dependent on the companys performance nor has a fixed maturity date and repayment requirement. It is more like a financial instrument in between the two, where the holder can receive fixed dividend income regularly and convert it into common stock under certain conditions.

For Strategy, this means that it can continue to raise funds through the issuance of additional preferred shares without having to bear the pressure of repayment due for traditional debt financing. Compared with the convertible bonds and senior secured bonds issued previously, this financing method provides greater flexibility and reduces short-term financial burden.

Of course, this model is not without cost. The annualized interest rate of the preferred stock is set at 8%, which is obviously higher than the 0%-0.75% convertible bonds and 6.125% senior secured bonds issued by Strategy in the past. The core question in the market is how the company can pay this considerable dividend cost.

Analysts speculate that Strategy may issue additional common stock through ATM to make up for the funding gap, or even directly use the newly issued shares to pay dividends. Although this model allows the company to raise funds in a short period of time, it may also lead to the problem of dilution of common shareholders equity.

Is it a good time to place a bet?

If Strategys perpetual preferred shares are approved, it will undoubtedly bring new impetus to the Bitcoin market.

Simply put, this type of preferred stock is equivalent to the company finding a more flexible and lasting way to raise funds, and the money will eventually be used to buy Bitcoin.

Compared with the past practice of issuing bonds or directly selling stocks to raise money, perpetual preferred stocks have no fixed maturity date, and companies can always use them to raise funds without having to repay the principal regularly like repaying debts. At the same time, since the preferred stocks this time adopt a model similar to the issuance of common stocks, Strategy can sell preferred stocks to raise funds at any time according to market conditions, without having to wait for approval or find specific investors like bond financing.

This means that Strategy may buy Bitcoin faster in the future, or even continue to buy more steadily.

But in the current sluggish market conditions, is it appropriate to initiate such a more aggressive financing method?

James Carter, a senior analyst at Goldman Sachs, said, Strategys $21 billion preferred stock issuance plan shows Saylors extreme optimism about Bitcoin, but in the current market downturn, such a high leverage operation may increase volatility risks.

Michael Evans, a fintech researcher at Citigroup, believes that against the backdrop of overall pressure on the cryptocurrency market, Strategys choice shows its judgment of future trends. If the market picks up, its returns may be astonishing, but at present, we need to pay attention to capital flows and changes in market sentiment.

Due to the complex structure of perpetual preferred stock financing, SEC approval may take several months. ChainCatcher editorial department will continue to follow up on the progress.

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