Cycle Capital: pSTAKE Finance has low market value and high circulation, and cooperates with Babylon to add a new BTC staking narrative

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Cycle Trading
5 months ago
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pSTAKE Finance is a multi-chain liquidity staking project. The token was launched in early 2022. The project originally provided liquidity token staking services for the BSC chain and the Cosmos ecosystem. The TVL was approximately US$7 million. Recently, it cooperated with the BTC staking project Babylon to launch BTC staking business.

Original author: LD Capital, Duoduo

Cycle Capital: pSTAKE Finance has low market value and high circulation, and cooperates with Babylon to add a new BTC staking narrative

basic situation

pSTAKE Finance is a multi-chain liquidity staking project. The token was launched in early 2022. The project originally provided liquidity token staking services for the BSC chain and the Cosmos ecosystem, with a TVL of approximately US$7 million. Recently, it cooperated with the BTC staking project Babylon to launch BTC staking business. More than 90% of the project tokens have entered circulation, with a token market value of US$57 million.

Cycle Capital: pSTAKE Finance has low market value and high circulation, and cooperates with Babylon to add a new BTC staking narrative

Cycle Capital: pSTAKE Finance has low market value and high circulation, and cooperates with Babylon to add a new BTC staking narrative

Team and Financing: Binance Labs strategic investment in 2022

The founder is from Singapore and graduated from Nanyang Technological University. The project received angel round financing of US$10 million in November 2021. Investment institutions include Galaxy Digital, Coinbase Venture and other institutions. The token price of this round of financing is US$0.1, and the institution received 100 million tokens, accounting for 20% of the total tokens. In December 2021, a public offering was conducted through coinlist, with a total fundraising of US$10 million, a token price of US$0.4, and a total of 2,500 tokens sold, accounting for 5% of the total tokens. In May 2022, the strategic round of financing received a single investment from Binance Labs, and the specific investment amount and valuation were not disclosed. It can be seen that from the perspective of financing prices, the current secondary market price is close to the seed round financing price, which is lower than the public offering round price.

Cycle Capital: pSTAKE Finance has low market value and high circulation, and cooperates with Babylon to add a new BTC staking narrative

Trapped in the investment dilemma caused by the low market value and high FDV token issuance model, Binance launched the Binance Coin Listing Project Open Recruitment Plan in May 2024, hoping to promote the development of the blockchain ecosystem by strengthening support for small and medium-sized cryptocurrency projects with good fundamentals, organic community foundation, sustainable business model and industry responsibility. pSTAKE, as a low-market value, high-circulation token that has participated in Binances bear market and has not yet been listed on Binance, has the opportunity to be selected for the plan.

Token Economics: 93.6% of tokens in circulation

The total number of tokens is 500 million, which will be launched in February 2022. More than 93.6% of the tokens have entered circulation. The remaining tokens belong to the team. According to the plan, the team will lock up the tokens for 18 months, and then release them linearly within 18 months. It will take a total of 36 months to release them, which means that all tokens will be released in February 2025.

Cycle Capital: pSTAKE Finance has low market value and high circulation, and cooperates with Babylon to add a new BTC staking narrative

Cycle Capital: pSTAKE Finance has low market value and high circulation, and cooperates with Babylon to add a new BTC staking narrative

Recent collaboration: BTC re-staking new narrative

Recently, pSTAKE has expanded its business, focusing on BTC re-staking, and reached a cooperation agreement with BTC staking protocol Babylon. This cooperation is an entry into the current new narrative and may bring larger and longer-lasting TVL growth to the project.

Babylon is a Bitcoin staking protocol founded by Professor David Tse of Stanford University. It has received a total of $96 million in investment from first-tier crypto investment institutions, including Paradigm, Hashkey, Binance Labs, Polychain, IDG, etc. Babylon is similar to Eigenlayer in Ethereum and is currently in the testnet stage. After its mainnet is launched, TVL is expected to grow rapidly.

A series of cooperation agreements will emerge around Babylon, and the business scale of these agreements will grow. At the same time, there will be competition between the agreements. At present, many agreements have announced cooperation with Babylon on BTC pledge, including BTC second-layer B²Network, Merlin, ZK-driven BTC execution layer Chakra, AI re-pledge agreement Mind Network, etc.

Cycle Capital: pSTAKE Finance has low market value and high circulation, and cooperates with Babylon to add a new BTC staking narrative

pSTAKEs liquidity staking solution will be able to provide Bitcoin income. Users deposit BTC into pSTAKE and can obtain corresponding liquidity staking tokens, participate in other DeFi projects on the chain, and earn income. After the Babylon mainnet is launched, BTC deposited in PSTAKE will also be staked in the Babylon protocol to obtain corresponding income.

Binance also responded to pSTAKE’s latest business development direction. Binance Research mentioned this change in its weekly market highlights summary on May 19.

Cycle Capital: pSTAKE Finance has low market value and high circulation, and cooperates with Babylon to add a new BTC staking narrative

Valuation comparison

The following is the valuation of the Ethereum re-staking protocol launched on Binance. The dimensions that affect the valuation include: narrative popularity, business data, liquidity premium (whether it is listed on Binance), financing valuation, track competitive advantage, etc. pSTAKE is not much different from the previous institutional financing valuation, and is generally underestimated. A brief comparison of the valuation of Ethereum staking tokens is used as a reference. It should be noted that the actual TVL of pSTAKE is very small at present, which is a big gap compared with Ethereum re-staking projects.

Cycle Capital: pSTAKE Finance has low market value and high circulation, and cooperates with Babylon to add a new BTC staking narrative

The price changes of pSTAKE and the changes in FDV under different market value assumptions:

Cycle Capital: pSTAKE Finance has low market value and high circulation, and cooperates with Babylon to add a new BTC staking narrative

in conclusion

1. pSTAKE currently has a low market value and the tokens are basically fully circulated. The token was launched in February 2022 and has experienced the decline of the entire bear market. The current market price is close to the seed round private placement price and is much lower than the public round price. It received investment from Binance in 2022.

2. The business has added a new hot narrative. pSTAKEs early business was the liquid pledge of BSC and Cosmos ecosystems, and these two pledge businesses are not hot. In May 2024, a new BTC re-pledge business was added, cooperating with the BTC pledge protocol Babylon. This cooperation may bring about rapid and sustained growth in business scale.

3. pSTAKE received strategic investment from Binance in 2022, with low market value + high circulation + new narrative: BTC staking heavyweight protocol cooperation + Binance strategic investment, and has the opportunity to become a project selected by Binances public recruitment plan for listing projects.

4. The main risk is that pSTAKE currently has a very small TVL, and will rely mainly on the development of babylon in the future; babylon is still in the testnet stage and requires a certain amount of waiting time. At the same time, there are multiple protocols cooperating with babylon, and pSTAKE may not be in an advantageous position in the BTC re-staking track, and the business growth data is not as expected.

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